PART 37 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 100 GW / 月球经济 / 火星:时间表很难精确 + 未来市场很早期
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
As a result, the timeline for certain of our initiatives involving unproven or new innovations, including our goal of deploying 100 gigawatts of 12 Table of Contents annual compute power to orbit, the establishment of a lunar economy and interplanetary industrialization, and the launch cadence required to achieve these goals may be difficult or impossible to determine. Our growth strategy may take longer to execute than anticipated, and you may not realize a return on your investment within the timeframe you anticipate, or at all. In addition, a portion of our anticipated market opportunities is associated with industries described above under "Future Markets." Certain of these industries, such as space tourism and cargo transport to the Moon, are still emerging. Others, including in-orbit manufacturing, passenger transport to the Moon, passenger and cargo transport to Mars, energy production on the Moon and Mars, manufacturing capabilities on the Moon and Mars, and asteroid mining, do not exist today. While we believe these industries will develop over time, the manner in which they emerge, including the timing of commercialization, the scale and pace of adoption, and the applicable competitive, technical, regulatory, geopolitical, and economic frameworks may differ materially from our current expectations.
中文翻译
**100 GW / 月球经济 / 火星:时间表很难精确 + 未来市场很早期**
所以,下面这些涉及"**未经验证的创新**"的事——**时间表很难、甚至不可能精确预测**:
- 我们的目标**每年向轨道部署 100 GW 算力**;
- **建立月球经济 + 行星际工业化**;
- 实现上述目标所需要的**发射频率**。
**我们的增长战略**——**可能比预期的要花更长时间**——**你可能无法在你预期的时间里、或者根本得不到投资回报**。
另外,**我们预测的一部分市场机会**是和"**未来市场**"那一节里说的行业绑定的。**有些行业**——比如**太空旅游、往月球运货**——**还处在早期**。还有些——**在轨制造、载人登月、载人 + 载货登火、在月球和火星上发电、在月球和火星上制造、小行星采矿**——**今天根本还不存在**。
**我们相信这些行业会随着时间慢慢发展起来**,但**它们会怎么出现**——**商业化的时点、规模和速度、背后的竞争/技术/监管/地缘/经济框架**——**很可能和现在的预期有重大差异**。
📊
三大板块挑战
PART 38 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 三大板块的具体挑战(Space / Connectivity / AI)
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
Our Space, Connectivity, and AI segments are also subject to the following challenges and uncertainties, among others. • Space: Our growth strategy depends on our ability to increase our launch cadence and payload capacity, which is dependent on the successful development of Starship at scale. Unexpected design modifications, supply chain disruptions, anomalies, environmental issues, and other unforeseen technical challenges could result in delays or failures to deploy Starship on our anticipated schedule, which would delay or impede our ability to achieve our other business objectives, such as the deployment of our next-generation satellites, the expansion of our satellite-to-mobile connectivity services, and deployment of in-orbit AI compute infrastructure. • Connectivity: Our satellite connectivity, including our global satellite-to-mobile connectivity services under Starlink Mobile, depend on access to radio frequency spectrum and authorizations from the Federal Communications Commission (the "FCC") in the United States and telecommunications regulators in other countries. Acquiring the necessary authorizations can be a complex and time-consuming process. Without these licenses and approvals, we cannot generally offer connectivity services in a given market. Spectrum access itself is limited and highly受 reg.
中文翻译
**三大板块的具体挑战(Space / Connectivity / AI)**
我们的**太空、通信、AI 三大板块**,还各自面临下面这些挑战和不确定性(只列部分):
- **🌌 太空(Space)**:**我们的增长战略**——**取决于能不能把发射频率和每次运量都提上去**——而**这又取决于 Starship 能不能成功实现规模化量产**。**意外的设计修改、供应链中断、异常情况、环境问题**等**我们没预见到的技术挑战**——都**可能导致 Starship 部署延期或失败**。这会进一步**拖慢或阻挡我们其他业务目标的实现**,比如:
- **下一代卫星的部署**;
- **卫星—手机直连通信服务的扩展**;
- **在轨 AI 算力基础设施的部署**。
- **📡 通信(Connectivity)**:**我们的卫星通信服务**——包括 **Starlink Mobile 全球手机直连卫星**——**依赖两件事**:
- **无线电频谱资源**;
- **美国联邦通信委员会(FCC)和各国通信监管机构**颁发的**授权许可**。
**拿到这些授权的过程可能很复杂、很慢**。**没有这些执照和批准,我们通常没法在某个市场提供通信服务**。**频谱资源本身是有限的、受严格监管的**。
🛒
AI 板块挑战
PART 39 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 通信市场推广 + AI 板块挑战(收尾)
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
Additionally, the growth of our connectivity services depends on our ability to increase market awareness and acceptance of connectivity through Starlink across numerous international markets, each with its unique challenges. • AI: Our AI business is in a relatively early stage, it is being integrated into our organization, its business strategy is still developing, and it will require significant capital expenditures to fund compute, infrastructure and power generation, model training, and product development. Additionally, our AI business is subject to challenges inherent in a nascent, highly competitive, capital intensive and rapidly changing industry. These include the potential for disruptive technological change, evolving industry and regulatory standards, the emergence of new and well-funded competitors, frequent new product and service introductions, and changing customer demands. Any number of these challenges, and others that may be currently unknown to us, could have a negative impact on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. For a discussion of the challenges, risks, and limitations that could harm our future prospects, please refer to "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements," "Risk Factors," and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" included elsewhere in this prospectus.
中文翻译
**通信市场推广 + AI 板块挑战(收尾)**
**通信板块**:除了频谱和监管,**我们通信服务的增长**还**取决于能不能在很多个国际市场**——**每个市场都有自己独特的挑战**——**让更多人知道并接受 Starlink**。
- **🤖 AI**:**我们的 AI 业务还处在比较早期的阶段**:
- **正在被整合进我们的组织**;
- **业务战略还在打磨中**;
- **需要巨额资本开支**——投在**算力、电力基础设施和发电、模型训练、产品开发**上。
此外,**AI 业务本身**就处于**一个早期、竞争白热化、烧钱、变化极快的行业**——**它面临的挑战**包括:
- **颠覆性技术变革**;
- **行业标准、监管标准不断变化**;
- **资金雄厚的新玩家不断冒出来**;
- **新产品新服务层出不穷**;
- **客户需求不断变化**。
**这些挑战中的任何一个**——以及**很多我们现在可能还不知道的**——**都可能给我们的业务、财务状况、经营结果带来负面影响**。要更全面地了解"**会伤害我们未来前景的挑战、风险和限制**",请看招股书里其他章节的**"前瞻性陈述的警示性声明"**、**"风险因素"**和**"管理层对财务状况和经营情况的讨论与分析"**。
🤝
Cursor 合作
PART 40 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 近期动态:和 Cursor 的合作(2026 年 4 月)
$60.0BCursor 隐含估值$1.5B期权终止费$8.5B延期服务费
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
Recent Developments Collaboration with Cursor In April 2026, we entered into a compute and option agreement with Anysphere, Inc., doing business as Cursor, a San Francisco-based private software company ("Cursor"), which we view as a compelling extension of our strategy to vertically integrate compute infrastructure, models, and applications. Under the compute agreement, we will provide Cursor with certain GPU cluster compute capacity and collaborate to improve existing models, including Grok, and potentially to jointly develop AI models and related model-specific deliverables or products. With the option agreement, we have the right, but not obligation, to acquire Cursor at a predetermined price or pay a fee. We 13 Table of Contents consider software development as a strategically important use case for AI given its combination of high-quality structured data, rapid feedback cycles and frequent, mission-critical usage. AI-assisted coding workflows generate context-rich, verifiable data that can enhance model training and performance, while also driving sustained inference demand. The depth of Cursor's integration with a high-frequency coding workflow generates valuable developer interaction data, including coding generation prompts, iteration cycles, and software architecture decisions. We expect that access to this data will enhance our model training and inference, including with respect to Grok.
中文翻译
**近期动态:和 Cursor 的合作(2026 年 4 月)**
**近期动态**
**与 Cursor 的合作** 2026 年 4 月,我们和 **Anysphere, Inc.**(对外品牌叫 **Cursor**,一家总部在旧金山的**私有软件公司**)签了**一份"算力 + 期权"协议**。**我们认为这是"垂直整合算力、模型和应用"战略的一个有说服力的延伸**。协议包含两块:
- **算力协议(Compute Agreement)**:我们会**给 Cursor 提供一定的 GPU 集群算力**——同时**合作改进现有模型**(包括 **Grok**)——并且**可能会共同开发 AI 模型和相关的"模型专用"交付物/产品**。
- **期权协议(Option Agreement)**:我们**有权(但没有义务)以一个预定的价格收购 Cursor**——或者**支付一笔费用**。
**我们认为"软件开发"是 AI 的一个战略性重要使用场景**,原因有三点:
- **高质量的结构化数据**;
- **快速的反馈循环**;
- **高频、关键任务式**的使用。
**AI 辅助写代码的工作流**会**产生"上下文丰富、可验证"的数据**——既能**提升模型训练和表现**,又能**持续拉动推理需求**。**Cursor 和"高频写代码"工作流深度集成**——它能拿到**宝贵的开发者交互数据**,包括**生成代码的提示词(prompts)、迭代轮次、软件架构决策**。**我们预期,拿到这些数据会提升我们的模型训练和推理能力**——**对 Grok 尤其如此**。
💵
$60B 收购 + $10B 终止费
PART 41 / 63 spaceX招股书
## Cursor 收购对价 $60B + 终止费 $1.5B / 延期服务费 $8.5B
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
Meanwhile, by providing access to our large-scale compute infrastructure, we believe we can help Cursor deliver faster and higher quality user experiences. The collaboration with Cursor may also accelerate our AI strategy by integrating our AI models more directly into developer workflows and expanding the distribution of our AI capabilities through high-engagement software interfaces. The consideration for the acquisition of Cursor, if any, after the closing of this offering would consist of shares of our Class A common stock based on an implied equity value of Cursor of $60.0 billion, and the price of our Class A common stock that equals the volume-weighted average closing price thereof over the seven consecutive trading days immediately preceding the closing of the acquisition. If either (i) we decide to terminate the option agreement or (ii) Cursor is eligible to and decides to terminate due to our material breach of the option agreement (subject to notice and cure provisions), Cursor is entitled to a $1.5 billion termination fee under the option agreement and an $8.5 billion deferred services fee under the compute agreement. These fees are payable in cash (or Class A common stock, if this offering has not been consummated at the time the fees become payable). For more information about our arrangement with Cursor, including our option to acquire the company, please refer to "Business—Collaboration with Cursor" included elsewhere in this prospectus.
中文翻译
**Cursor 收购对价 $60B + 终止费 $1.5B / 延期服务费 $8.5B**
**同时,通过把我们的大规模算力基础设施开放给 Cursor**,我们认为**能帮 Cursor 给用户更快、更高质量的体验**。**和 Cursor 的合作**还有可能**加速我们的 AI 战略**——**让我们的 AI 模型更直接地嵌进开发者工作流**——并通过**高粘性的软件界面扩大 AI 能力的分发**。
**收购 Cursor 的对价**(如果最终发生的话):**本次发行完成之后**,收购对价**用我们的 A 类普通股(Class A common stock)股票支付**——
- 基础是 **Cursor 隐含股权价值 $60.0 billion(600 亿美元)**;
- 股价取**收购完成前连续 7 个交易日**我们 **A 类普通股**的**成交量加权平均收盘价(VWAP)**。
**如果出现下面任一情况**:
- **我们主动决定终止期权协议**;或
- **Cursor 有权终止**且**因我们"重大违约"决定终止**(有通知和宽限期条款),
那 **Cursor 有权拿到**:
- **$1.5 billion(15 亿美元)的终止费**——来自**期权协议**;
- **$8.5 billion(85 亿美元)的延期服务费**——来自**算力协议**。
这些费用**用现金支付**(如果**到支付时本次发行还没完成**,**也可以用 A 类普通股**支付)。更多关于我们和 Cursor 安排(包括**收购期权**)的信息,请看招股书其他章节的**"业务—与 Cursor 的合作"**。
🤖
Anthropic + Grok-5
举证不能等于败诉 律师总结关键突破口
很多人一听到“举证不能”四个字,心里就凉了半截,觉得官司肯定输定了。其实还真不一定。我处理过一个合同纠纷,对方拿不出发货单,按常理说这就是典型的举证不能。但最后我们赢了,靠的是从对方的对账单里抠出了关键线索。
举证不能,表面看是没证据,但法律上真正的败诉点在于:你能不能说服法官“事实可能存在但证明不了”。所以突破口就在这儿——不是非得自己有无懈可击的证据,而是要让对方的证据链出现裂痕。比如,你说我欠你钱,但你拿不出借条,可你有转账记录,那你可以反过来要求对方说明转账性质。这时候举证责任就转移了。
律师常说的“举证责任倒置”就是一把好武器。还有些案子,对方拿不出书证,但法律允许用推定、日常经验法则来弥补。比如你作为员工被公司解雇,公司说不上班违纪,却拿不出打卡记录,那法律上就可以推定管理缺失,公司反而得吃哑巴亏。
所以别一听“没证据”就认栽。关键是要理清谁该举证、举什么证、举不到会怎样。很多时候,劣势只是看起来的纸老虎,真正聪明的人会用法律规则反过来挖对方的坑。
PART 42 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 第三方算力服务协议(Anthropic 案例)+ Grok-5
325,000NVIDIA GPU 数量$1.25B每月费用(至 2029/5)3 个月提前 90 天可终止
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
Compute Services Agreements with Third Parties We believe our compute infrastructure and related strategy provides us with substantial flexibility in how we allocate and monetize capacity. We have the ability to use compute resources to support our proprietary AI applications (such as Grok-5, which is currently being trained at COLOSSUS II), while also providing access to select compute capacity to third-party customers. For example, in May 2026, we entered into Cloud Services Agreements with Anthropic PBC ("Anthropic"), an AI research and development public benefit corporation, with respect to access to compute capacity across COLOSSUS and COLOSSUS II. Compute capacity provided includes approximately 325,000 NVIDIA GPUs, backed by hyperscale-class CPUs, exabyte-scale storage and high-speed networking and interconnects purpose-built for AI workloads. Pursuant to these agreements, the customer has agreed to pay us $1.25 billion per month through May 2029, with capacity ramping in May and June 2026 at a reduced fee. After the initial three-month period, the agreements may be terminated by either party upon 90 days' notice. The customer will retain ownership and intellectual property rights in its content, AI models, and related data. This structure allows us to monetize a portion of the compute capacity in our infrastructure, while still permitting reallocation of that capacity for our own internal initiatives if needed in the future.
中文翻译
**第三方算力服务协议(Anthropic 案例)+ Grok-5**
**与第三方的算力服务协议**
**我们认为,自己的算力基础设施和相关战略**——**让我们在"如何分配和变现算力"这件事上**有**很大的灵活性**。我们可以**用算力跑自己的 AI 应用**(比如 **Grok-5——目前正在 COLOSSUS II 上训练**),**也可以把一部分算力开放给第三方客户**。
**案例**:**2026 年 5 月**,我们和 **Anthropic PBC**(对外叫 **Anthropic**,一家"**AI 研究和开发的公益公司**")签了**云服务协议(Cloud Services Agreements)**——把 **COLOSSUS 和 COLOSSUS II** 的算力开放给 Anthropic 用。
- **算力规模**:**大约 325,000 块 NVIDIA GPU**。
- **配套**:**超大规模 CPU(hyperscale-class CPUs)**、**艾字节级(exabyte-scale)存储**、**为 AI 工作负载专门搭的高速网络和互联**。
**协议条款**:
- 客户**每月付我们 $1.25 billion(12.5 亿美元)**,**一直付到 2029 年 5 月**。
- 2026 年 5、6 月份**算力爬坡期**,**费率打折扣**。
- **头 3 个月**之后,**任何一方提前 90 天通知就可以终止**。
- **客户保留**其**内容、AI 模型和相关数据的知识产权**。
**这种结构**——
- **让我们能把一部分算力变现**;
- 同时**保留了未来"如果需要,把这部分算力挪回给我们自己用"的灵活性**。
💼
算力双重变现
香港暴雨 / 台风 “极端状况”,雇主能逼你上班吗?
工伤认定在恶劣天气里有什么不同
前段时间北京下大雪,有个外卖小哥在送餐途中摔伤了,公司说这不属于工伤,理由是“恶劣天气下的意外属于不可抗力”。其实,这个理由站不住脚,工伤认定的核心是看事故是否与工作相关,跟天气好坏没有直接关系。
很多人的误区是:觉得风雪天、暴雨天出的事,就应该算工伤。但法律上,恶劣天气并不会自动改变认定标准。相反,只要是在工作时间和工作场所内,因工作原因受伤,不管那天是下刀子还是下沙子,都照样能认定。比如,环卫工在暴雪天扫街时滑倒骨折,只要是在工作时段、履行工作职责,就属于工伤。
不过,真的有区别。区别在于,恶劣天气下,员工需要比平时多注意一点:尽量保留天气预警的截图、路况视频、同事或路人证言,这些是证明“事故与工作存在因果关系”的关键证据。另外,如果公司强行要求员工在极端天气下冒风险外出工作,导致受伤,单位还要承担额外的法律责任,甚至可能涉及安全生产责任问题。
一句话总结:天气是背景,不是理由。只要你在上班干活时受伤,别管外面刮风还是下雹子,记住第一时间送医、留证据、找单位申报,别因为“天气不好”就主动放弃维权。
PART 43 / 63 spaceX招股书
## 算力充足 + 双重变现 + Musk 介绍
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
We have sufficient capacity to provide compute for our own AI models, including support of our training and inference demands, and to satisfy the obligations under these agreements. We expect to enter into additional similar services contracts. We believe this opportunity highlights the increasing importance of large-scale, frontier-level AI infrastructure and positions us as a differentiated provider of high-performance compute capacity to both internal and third-party AI workloads. We believe our dual monetization strategy provides multiple pathways to generate returns on invested capital. Founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Technical Officer and Chairman of Our Board Mr. Musk is our founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Technical Officer and the Chairman of our board. Assuming a size as set forth on the cover page of this prospectus and an initial public offering price of $ per share (the midpoint of the price range set forth on the cover page of this prospectus), Mr. Musk will hold approximately % of the voting power of our common stock (or % if the underwriters exercise their option to purchase additional shares of Class A common stock in full) immediately after this offering through his ownership of shares of our Class A common stock and shares of our Class B common stock, which comprises approximately % of our Class B common stock.
中文翻译
**算力充足 + 双重变现 + Musk 介绍**
**我们的算力**——
- **够支撑自己的 AI 模型**(包括训练和推理需求);
- **够履行上面的合同义务**。
**我们预期未来还会签更多类似的服务合同**。**我们认为这种机会**凸显了**大规模、前沿级 AI 基础设施**越来越重要——也把**我们定位成"高性能算力的差异化供应商"**——**既能服务内部 AI 工作负载,也能服务第三方**。**我们认为这种"双重变现"战略**——**给我们提供了"把投入资本赚回收益"的多种路径**。
**创始人、CEO、CTO、董事长——Mr. Musk**
**Mr. Musk 是我们的创始人、CEO、CTO,也是我们的董事长**。**假设**——
- 发行规模按招股书封面所述;
- **首次公开发行(IPO)价格 = 招股书封面价格区间的中点**;
那**本次发行完成之后**,**Mr. Musk 通过持有 A 类普通股和 B 类普通股**,将**持有我们普通股票约 % 的投票权**(如果承销商**完全行使 A 类普通股超额配售权**,则约 %);**其中 B 类普通股约占 %**。
#### 📝 翻译者注
- **"双重变现(dual monetization)"**:SpaceX 既**卖自己生产的 AI 产品**(Grok、X、AI 服务),**也卖"算力本身"**(给 Anthropic 等第三方)——两条腿走路。
- **"超额配售权(greenshoe option)"**:承销商可以在发行后一段时间内**多卖 15% 的股票**(这是美国 IPO 标配)——给"卖得太火"加缓冲。具体比例在招股书封面上。
👑
Musk 1.3B 受限股
PART 44 / 63 spaceX招股书
## Musk 1.3B 受限股 + Class B 董事控制权 + 双重股权结构
ENGLISH · ORIGINAL
The foregoing amount of Class B common stock includes 1,302,072,285 restricted shares of Class B common stock issued to and held of record by Mr. Musk, which may be voted by Mr. Musk, and the vesting of which is subject to the satisfaction of certain performance and other conditions. Under our charter, the holders of our Class B common stock will have the right to elect a majority 14 Table of Contents of our board (such directors, the "Class B Directors"), for so long as any shares of Class B common stock remain outstanding. As the holder of a majority of our shares of Class B common stock, Mr. Musk will be able to elect, remove or fill any vacancy among the Class B Directors. In addition, for so long as he beneficially owns more than 50% of the voting power of our common stock, Mr. Musk will control the voting power over the selection of our board. As a result, Mr. Musk will have the power to control the outcome of matters requiring shareholder approval, including election of all our directors, and to control our business and affairs. Our Controlled Company Status We will be a controlled company as of the completion of this offering under Nasdaq and Nasdaq Texas listing rules. A controlled company is not required to have a majority of its board composed of independent directors or to establish independent compensation and nominating committees.
中文翻译
**Musk 1.3B 受限股 + Class B 董事控制权 + 双重股权结构**
**上面提到 Musk 持有的 B 类普通股**里——**包括 1,302,072,285 股"受限 B 类普通股"**——这些股票**发行给 Musk、本身由 Musk 名义持有**:
- **Musk 可以投票**;
- 但**归属(vesting)需要满足特定的业绩和其他条件**。
**根据我们的章程**:只要还有任何 B 类普通股在外流通,**B 类普通股的持有者就有权选出董事会的多数席位**(这些董事叫"**Class B Directors**")。**Musk 持有我们 B 类普通股的多数**——所以他**能选举、罢免、或填补 Class B 董事中的任何空缺**。
**只要 Musk 实际拥有我们普通股投票权的 50% 以上**,**他就能控制"选董事会"这件事的投票权**。**结果就是**:**Musk 拥有决定任何需要股东批准事项结果的权力**——**包括选我们所有董事**——并**控制我们的业务和事务**。
**我们"被控股公司"(Controlled Company)身份**
**本次发行完成之后**,**根据 Nasdaq 和 Nasdaq Texas 的上市规则**,**我们将是一家"被控股公司"(Controlled Company)**。**"被控股公司"**有几个**可以豁免的治理要求**——
- **董事会多数不必由独立董事组成**;
- **不必设独立的薪酬委员会和提名委员会**。
#### 📝 翻译者注
- **"双重股权结构(dual class structure)"**:A 类普通股**1 股 1 票**、**B 类普通股 1 股 10 票**。Musk 拿 B 类——**用相对少的"经济所有权"控制多数"投票权"**。这是 Meta、Google、Snap 等创始人系科技公司标配。
- **"1,302,072,285 股受限 B 类普通股"**:折合 **13.02 亿股**——是 Musk 在公司里的"压舱石",**但归属要看业绩条件**(不一定是"时间 vesting",更可能是"市值/业绩里程碑 vesting")。
- **"被控股公司(controlled company)"**:Nasdaq 给"创始人/家族持续控制"的公司一项"治理豁免"——**独立董事不强制多数、独立委员会不强制设**。代价是**公司治理上对外部股东保护偏弱**——但 Musk 个人风格下这是有意为之的选择。
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